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1.
Cancer Med ; 13(9): e7230, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38698686

AIMS: This study aimed to investigate environmental factors and genetic variant loci associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Chinese population and construct a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) and polygenic risk score (PRS). METHODS: A case-control study was applied to confirm the single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and environmental variables linked to HCC in the Chinese population, which had been screened by meta-analyses. wGRS and PRS were built in training sets and validation sets. Area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were applied to evaluate the performance of the models. RESULTS: A total of 13 SNPs were included in both risk prediction models. Compared with wGRS, PRS had better accuracy and discrimination ability in predicting HCC risk. The AUC for PRS in combination with drinking history, cirrhosis, HBV infection, and family history of HCC in training sets and validation sets (AUC: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.84-0.89; AUC: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.81-0.89) increased at least 20% than the AUC for PRS alone (AUC: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.60-0.67; AUC: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.60-0.71). CONCLUSIONS: A novel model combining PRS with alcohol history, HBV infection, cirrhosis, and family history of HCC could be applied as an effective tool for risk prediction of HCC, which could discriminate at-risk individuals for precise prevention.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Liver Neoplasms , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/genetics , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/genetics , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Male , Female , Middle Aged , China/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Asian People/genetics , Risk Assessment , Multifactorial Inheritance , Aged , Gene-Environment Interaction , East Asian People
2.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(5): e2411076, 2024 May 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38743424

Importance: Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with cirrhosis is underused. Identifying potentially modifiable factors to address barriers in HCC surveillance is critical to improve patient outcomes. Objective: To evaluate clinician-level factors contributing to underuse of HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis. Design, Setting, and Participants: This survey study included primary care clinicians (PCCs) and gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians at 5 safety-net health systems in the US. Clinicians were surveyed from March 15 to September 15, 2023, to assess knowledge, attitudes, beliefs, perceived barriers, and COVID-19-related disruptions in HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis. Data were analyzed from October to November 2023. Main Outcome and Measures: HCC surveillance knowledge was assessed with 6 questions querying the respondent's ability to correctly identify appropriate use of HCC surveillance. Attitudes, perceived barriers, and beliefs regarding HCC surveillance and perceived impact of the COVID-19 pandemic-related disruptions with HCC surveillance were assessed with a series of statements using a 4-point Likert scale and compared PCCs and gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians. Results: Overall, 347 of 1362 clinicians responded to the survey (25.5% response rate), among whom 142 of 237 (59.9%) were PCCs, 48 of 237 (20.3%) gastroenterology and hepatology, 190 of 236 (80.5%) were doctors of medicine and doctors of osteopathic medicine, and 46 of 236 (19.5%) were advanced practice clinicians. On HCC knowledge assessment, 144 of 270 (53.3%) scored 5 or more of 6 questions correctly, 37 of 48 (77.1%) among gastroenterology and hepatology vs 65 of 142 (45.8%) among PCCs (P < .001). Those with higher HCC knowledge scores were less likely to report barriers to HCC surveillance. PCCs were more likely to report inadequate time to discuss HCC surveillance (37 of 139 [26.6%] vs 2 of 48 [4.2%]; P = .001), difficulty identifying patients with cirrhosis (82 of 141 [58.2%] vs 5 of 48 [10.4%]; P < .001), and were not up-to-date with HCC surveillance guidelines (87 of 139 [62.6%] vs 5 of 48 [10.4%]; P < .001) compared with gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians. While most acknowledged delays during the COVID-19 pandemic, 62 of 136 PCCs (45.6%) and 27 of 45 gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians (60.0%) reported that patients with cirrhosis could currently complete HCC surveillance without delays. Conclusions and Relevance: In this survey study, important gaps in knowledge and perceived barriers to HCC surveillance were identified. Effective delivery of HCC education to PCCs and health system-level interventions must be pursued in parallel to address the complex barriers affecting suboptimal HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis.


COVID-19 , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Male , Female , SARS-CoV-2 , Middle Aged , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Surveys and Questionnaires , United States/epidemiology , Adult , Physicians, Primary Care/statistics & numerical data , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Attitude of Health Personnel , Clinical Competence/statistics & numerical data
3.
Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 9(6): 539-549, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38588691

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the predominant cause of hepatocellular carcinoma in west Africa, yet data on the incidence of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma remain scarce. We aimed to describe the uptake and early outcomes of systematic ultrasound-based hepatocellular carcinoma screening in SEN-B, which is a prospective HBV cohort in Senegal. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we included treatment-naive, HBsAg-positive individuals who were referred to the two infectious diseases clinics (the Department of Tropical and Infectious Diseases and Ambulatory Treatment Center) at Fann University Hospital of Dakar, Senegal, between Oct 1, 2019, and Oct 31, 2022. All participants resided within the Dakar region. Participants underwent abdominal ultrasound, transient elastography, and clinical and virological assessments at inclusion and every 6 months. Liver lesions at least 1 cm in diameter on ultrasound were assessed using four-phase CT, MRI, or liver biopsy. Adherence to hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance was measured using the proportion of time covered, calculated by dividing the cumulative months covered by abdominal ultrasound examinations by the overall follow-up time, defined as the number of months from the date of cohort entry until the last recorded visit, hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis, or death. Optimal adherence was defined as a proportion of time covered of 100%. FINDINGS: Overall, 755 (99·6%) of 758 participants had at least one abdominal ultrasound performed. The median age of the enrolled participants was 31 years (IQR 25-39), 355 (47·0%) of 755 participants were women, and 82 (10·9%) had a family history of hepatocellular carcinoma. 15 (2·0%) of 755 individuals were HBeAg positive, 206 (27·3%) of 755 individuals had HBV DNA of more than 2000 IU/mL, and 27 (3·6%) of 755 had elastography-defined liver cirrhosis. Of ten (1·3%) participants with a focal lesion at least 1 cm at initial assessment, CT or MRI ruled out hepatocellular carcinoma in nine, whereas imaging and subsequent liver biopsy confirmed one patient with hepatocellular carcinoma. Two further patients with hepatocellular carcinoma were diagnosed at study presentation due to the presence of portal thrombosis on ultrasound. Excluding the three participants with hepatocellular carcinoma identified at baseline, 752 participants were eligible for screening every 6 months. Median follow-up time was 12 months (IQR 6-18) and the median number of ultrasounds per patient was 3 (2-4). During 809·5 person-years of follow-up, one incident hepatocellular carcinoma was reported, resulting in an incidence rate of 1·24 cases per 1000 person-years (95% CI 0·18-8·80). Overall, 702 (93·0%) of 755 participants showed optimal hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, but this proportion decreased to 77·8% (42 of 54 participants) after 24 months. INTERPRETATION: Hepatocellular carcinoma screening is feasible in HBV research cohorts in west Africa, but its longer-term acceptability needs to be evaluated. Long-term hepatocellular carcinoma incidence data are crucial for shaping tailored screening recommendations. FUNDING: Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Cancer Research Foundation, the National Cancer Institute, and Roche Diagnostics. TRANSLATION: For the French translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Early Detection of Cancer , Hepatitis B, Chronic , Liver Neoplasms , Ultrasonography , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnostic imaging , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/virology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis , Liver Neoplasms/virology , Senegal/epidemiology , Female , Male , Prospective Studies , Adult , Middle Aged , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications , Hepatitis B, Chronic/epidemiology , Elasticity Imaging Techniques , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
5.
Med Lav ; 115(2): e2024016, 2024 Apr 24.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38686579

BACKGROUND: Recent studies supported the association between occupational exposure to asbestos and risk of cholangiocarcinoma (CC). Aim of the present study is to investigate this association using an update of mortality data from the Italian pooled asbestos cohort study and to test record linkage to Cancer Registries to distinguish between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic/extrahepatic forms of CC. METHODS: The update of a large cohort study pooling 52 Italian industrial cohorts of workers formerly exposed to asbestos was carried out. Causes of death were coded according to ICD. Linkage was carried out for those subjects who died for liver or bile duct cancer with data on histological subtype provided by Cancer Registries. RESULTS: 47 cohorts took part in the study (57,227 subjects). We identified 639 causes of death for liver and bile duct cancer in the 44 cohorts covered by Cancer Registry. Of these 639, 240 cases were linked to Cancer Registry, namely 14 CC, 83 HCC, 117 cases with unspecified histology, 25 other carcinomas, and one case of cirrhosis (likely precancerous condition). Of the 14 CC, 12 occurred in 2010-2019, two in 2000-2009, and none before 2000. CONCLUSION: Further studies are needed to explore the association between occupational exposure to asbestos and CC. Record linkage was hampered due to incomplete coverage of the study areas and periods by Cancer Registries. The identification of CC among unspecific histology cases is fundamental to establish more effective and targeted liver cancer screening strategies.


Asbestos , Bile Duct Neoplasms , Cholangiocarcinoma , Occupational Diseases , Occupational Exposure , Humans , Cholangiocarcinoma/epidemiology , Cholangiocarcinoma/etiology , Occupational Exposure/adverse effects , Italy/epidemiology , Bile Duct Neoplasms/epidemiology , Bile Duct Neoplasms/etiology , Male , Asbestos/adverse effects , Cohort Studies , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Occupational Diseases/epidemiology , Occupational Diseases/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Registries
6.
Acta Med Indones ; 56(1): 107-113, 2024 Jan.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38561879

In recent years, the incidence of diabetes mellitus and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been increasing worldwide, in the context of an increasing prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In patients with diabetes mellitus, exogenous insulin is commonly prescribed and used in long-term settings. Recent studies suggest that insulin use may elevate the risk of HCC. A substantial body of work seeks to unpack the association between insulin use and the risk of developing HCC, although there may be conflicting evidence. Further validation is necessary to clarify the true relationship between insulin mechanisms and its hepatocarcinogenic effect. Given the burden of diabetic patients developing HCC, diabetologists and hepatologists must collaborate, particularly regarding the prevention and surveillance of HCC in diabetic patients.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Diabetes Mellitus , Liver Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Risk Factors , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Insulin/adverse effects
7.
Medicina (Kaunas) ; 60(4)2024 Mar 28.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38674198

Background and Objectives: Liver cancer poses a significant global health threat, ranking among the top three causes of cancer-related deaths. Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often present with symptoms associated with neoplasms or unusual clinical features such as paraneoplastic syndromes (PNS), including hypoglycemia, hypercholesterolemia, thrombocytosis, and erythrocytosis. Our study aimed to investigate the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and survival outcomes associated with PNS in HCC patients and assess each PNS's impact on patient survival. Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of PNS clinical features and survival among consecutive HCC patients diagnosed at our department over seven years, comparing them with HCC patients without PNS. The study involved a retrospective data evaluation from 378 patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2016 and October 2023. Results: We obtained a PNS prevalence of 25.7%, with paraneoplastic hypercholesterolemia at 10.9%, hypoglycemia at 6.9%, erythrocytosis at 4.5%, and thrombocytosis at 3.4%. Patients with PNS tended to be younger and predominantly male. Multivariate analysis revealed a strong correlation between PNS and levels of alpha-fetoprotein and tumor size, with diabetes also showing a significant statistical association (p < 0.05). Subgroup analysis based on specific paraneoplastic syndromes demonstrated shorter survival in patients with PNS, albeit without significant statistical differences, except for hypoglycemia (p < 0.0001). Matched analysis indicated a shorter survival rate for patients with PNS, although no significant statistical differences were observed. Conclusions: PNS are frequently observed in HCC cases and are associated with unfavorable prognoses and decreased survival rates due to their correlation with increased tumor burdens. However, they do not independently predict poor survival. The impact of individual PNS on HCC prognosis varies.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Paraneoplastic Syndromes , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/complications , Female , Paraneoplastic Syndromes/epidemiology , Paraneoplastic Syndromes/mortality , Middle Aged , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/complications , Aged , Prevalence , Adult , Survival Analysis , Hypercholesterolemia/epidemiology , Hypercholesterolemia/complications , Hypoglycemia/epidemiology , Hypoglycemia/complications , Polycythemia/epidemiology , Polycythemia/complications , Aged, 80 and over , Thrombocytosis/epidemiology , Thrombocytosis/complications
8.
Viruses ; 16(4)2024 Apr 16.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38675959

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections affect approximately 296 million people around the world, and the prevalence of any past or present HBV infection during the years 2015-2018 was as high as 4.3%. Acute HBV infection often presents with nonspecific symptoms and is usually self-limited, but 5% of patients can have persistent infections leading to chronic HBV infection and the risk of turning into chronic HBV infection is significantly higher in babies with vertical transmission (95%). Patients with chronic HBV infection are usually asymptomatic, but 15 to 40% of chronic HBV carriers develop cirrhosis and/or hepatocellular carcinoma. In addition to liver-related disorders, HBV is also associated with several extrahepatic complications, including glomerulonephritis, cryoglobulinemia, neurologic disorders, psychological manifestations, polyarthritis, and dermatologic disorders. Making the diagnosis of HBV can be challenging since patients with chronic infections can remain symptom-free for decades before developing cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma, and patients with acute HBV infection may have only mild, nonspecific symptoms. Therefore, understanding how this virus causes extrahepatic complications can help clinicians consider this possibility in patients with diverse symptom presentations. The pathophysiology of these extrahepatic disorders likely involves immune-related tissue injury following immune complex formation and inflammatory cascades. In some cases, direct viral infection of extrahepatic tissue may cause a clinical syndrome. Currently, the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases recommends treatment of chronic HBV infections with interferon therapy and/or nucleos(t)ide analogs, and this treatment has been reported to improve some extrahepatic disorders in some patients with chronic HBV infection. These extrahepatic complications have a significant role in disease outcomes and increase medical costs, morbidity, and mortality. Therefore, understanding the frequency and pathogenesis of these extrahepatic complications provides important information for both specialists and nonspecialists and may help clinicians identify patients at an earlier stage of their infection.


Comorbidity , Hepatitis B virus , Humans , Hepatitis B virus/physiology , Hepatitis B/epidemiology , Hepatitis B/complications , Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications , Hepatitis B, Chronic/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/virology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/virology , Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology , Liver Cirrhosis/virology , Cost of Illness , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Prevalence
9.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(4): e248755, 2024 Apr 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38683607

Importance: Cohort studies demonstrating an association of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening with reduced mortality are prone to lead-time and length-time biases. Objective: To characterize the clinical benefits of HCC screening, adjusting for lead-time and length-time biases, in a diverse, contemporary cohort of at-risk patients. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study of patients with HCC was conducted between January 2008 and December 2022 at 2 large US health systems. Data analysis was performed from September to November 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was screen-detected HCC, defined by abnormal screening-intent abdominal imaging or α-fetoprotein level within 6 months before diagnosis. Cox regression analysis was used to characterize differences in overall survival between patients with screen-detected and non-screen-detected HCC; lead-time and length-time adjustments were calculated using the Duffy parametric formula. Results: Among 1313 patients with HCC (mean [SD] age, 61.7 [9.6] years; 993 male [75.6%]; 739 [56.3%] with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A disease), HCC was screen-detected in 556 (42.3%) and non-screen detected in 757 (57.7%). Patients with screen-detected HCC had higher proportions of early-stage HCC (393 patients [70.7%] vs 346 patients [45.7%]; risk ratio [RR], 1.54; 95% CI, 1.41-1.70) and curative treatment receipt (283 patients [51.1%] vs 252 patients [33.5%]; RR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.34-1.74) compared with patients with non-screen-detected HCC. The screen-detected group had significantly lower mortality, which persisted after correcting for lead-time bias (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.65-0.87) in fully adjusted models. Both groups had similar tumor doubling times (median [IQR], 3.8 [2.2-10.7] vs 5.6 [1.7-11.4] months) and proportions of indolent tumors (28 patients [35.4%] vs 24 patients [38.1%]; RR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.60-1.43). Adjustment for length-time bias decreased survival estimates, although 3-year and 5-year survival for patients with screen-detected HCC remained longer than that for patients with non-screen-detected HCC. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that HCC screening is associated with reduced mortality even after accounting for lead-time and length-time biases. However, these biases should be considered in future studies.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Early Detection of Cancer , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Early Detection of Cancer/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Cohort Studies , Mass Screening/methods , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , alpha-Fetoproteins/analysis , United States/epidemiology
10.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 9761, 2024 04 29.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38684838

This study evaluated the effect of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on cancer development, particularly in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), in individuals with concomitant fatty liver disease (FLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Using data from Korea's Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service, we performed Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and T2DM (NAFLD-T2DM cohort) and those with chronic viral hepatitis (CVH) alongside FLD and T2DM (FLD-T2DM-CVH cohort). In the propensity score (PS) matched NAFLD-T2DM cohort (N = 107,972), SGLT2i use was not associated with the occurrence of overall cancer, including HCC. However, old age, male sex, liver cirrhosis, and hypothyroidism were identified as independent risk factors for HCC occurrence, whereas statin and fibrate usage were associated with reduced HCC risk in this cohort in multivariate Cox analysis. In the PS-matched FLD-T2DM-CVH cohort (N = 2798), a significant decrease in HCC occurrence was observed among SGLT2i users (P = 0.03). This finding remained consistent in the multivariate Cox regression analysis (Hazard ratio = 2.21, 95% confidence interval = 1.01-4.85, P = 0.048). In conclusion, SGLT2i may be a beneficial option for diabetes management in patients with concomitant T2DM, FLD, and CVH while affirming the overall safety of SGLT2i in other types of cancer.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Liver Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors , Humans , Male , Female , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Middle Aged , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Incidence , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Aged , Risk Factors , Cohort Studies , Adult , Proportional Hazards Models , Propensity Score
11.
Br J Cancer ; 130(10): 1697-1708, 2024 Jun.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38499728

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence has increased rapidly, and prognosis remains poor. We aimed to explore predictors of routes to diagnosis (RtD), and outcomes, in HCC cases. METHODS: HCC cases diagnosed 2006-2017 were identified from the National Cancer Registration Dataset and linked to Hospital Episode Statistics and the RtD metric. Multivariable logistic regression was used to explore associations between RtD, diagnosis year, 365-day mortality and receipt of potentially curative treatment. RESULTS: 23,555 HCC cases were identified; 36.1% via emergency presentation (EP), 30.2% GP referral (GP), 17.1% outpatient referral, 11.0% two-week wait and 4.6% other/unknown routes. Odds of 365-day mortality was >70% lower via GP or OP routes than EP, and odds of curative treatment 3-4 times higher. Further adjustment for cancer/cirrhosis stage attenuated the associations with curative treatment. People who were older, female, had alcohol-related liver disease, or were more deprived, were at increased risk of an EP. Over time, diagnoses via EP decreased, and via GP increased. CONCLUSIONS: HCC RtD is an important predictor of outcomes. Continuing to reduce EP and increase GP and OP presentations, for example by identifying and regularly monitoring patients at higher risk of HCC, may improve stage at diagnosis and survival.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Female , Male , Aged , Middle Aged , Adult , Referral and Consultation/statistics & numerical data , Prognosis , Aged, 80 and over , Young Adult , Adolescent
12.
J Biomed Inform ; 152: 104626, 2024 04.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38521180

OBJECTIVE: The accuracy of deep learning models for many disease prediction problems is affected by time-varying covariates, rare incidence, covariate imbalance and delayed diagnosis when using structured electronic health records data. The situation is further exasperated when predicting the risk of one disease on condition of another disease, such as the hepatocellular carcinoma risk among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease due to slow, chronic progression, the scarce of data with both disease conditions and the sex bias of the diseases. The goal of this study is to investigate the extent to which the aforementioned issues influence deep learning performance, and then devised strategies to tackle these challenges. These strategies were applied to improve hepatocellular carcinoma risk prediction among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. METHODS: We evaluated two representative deep learning models in the task of predicting the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in a cohort of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (n = 220,838) from a national EHR database. The disease prediction task was carefully formulated as a classification problem while taking censorship and the length of follow-up into consideration. RESULTS: We developed a novel backward masking scheme to deal with the issue of delayed diagnosis which is very common in EHR data analysis and evaluate how the length of longitudinal information after the index date affects disease prediction. We observed that modeling time-varying covariates improved the performance of the algorithms and transfer learning mitigated reduced performance caused by the lack of data. In addition, covariate imbalance, such as sex bias in data impaired performance. Deep learning models trained on one sex and evaluated in the other sex showed reduced performance, indicating the importance of assessing covariate imbalance while preparing data for model training. CONCLUSIONS: The strategies developed in this work can significantly improve the performance of hepatocellular carcinoma risk prediction among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Furthermore, our novel strategies can be generalized to apply to other disease risk predictions using structured electronic health records, especially for disease risks on condition of another disease.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Deep Learning , Liver Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/complications , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/diagnosis , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Electronic Health Records
13.
Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 36(5): 646-651, 2024 May 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38555602

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to explore the impact of sex on clinical features and survival among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. METHODS: HCC case data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for the period 2010 to 2015 were selected for analysis. Kaplan-Meier curves displayed overall survival. Univariate cox regression examined the prognostic characteristics of individual features, and multivariate Cox regression assessed hazard ratios. RESULTS: This study comprised 3486 HCC patients, with 2682 males and 804 females. Across all age groups, there was a higher prevalence of males compared to females. Survival curves among female patients showed no significant differences across various age groups. However, among male patients, those under 60 demonstrated notably higher survival rates compared to those aged 60 and above. Regarding various ethnicities, TNM staging systems, tumor sizes, the presence of lung/bone/brain metastases, location in Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Areas, SEER historic stages, tumor grades, and individuals receiving chemotherapy, the proportion of male patients consistently exceeded that of female patients. Within the female patient group, individuals receiving chemotherapy exhibited significantly higher survival rates compared to those who did not. However, the administration of chemotherapy showed no significant impact on the survival rate of male patients. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed age, gender, and the administration of chemotherapy key factors influencing the overall survival prognosis. CONCLUSION: Age, gender, and the administration of chemotherapy are influential factors in the prognosis of both male and female HCC patients.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Female , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Prognosis , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , SEER Program , Neoplasm Staging
14.
Aliment Pharmacol Ther ; 59(10): 1223-1235, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38425096

BACKGROUND: Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) persists after hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). AIMS: To identify risk factors and construct a predictive model for HCC development. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed patients with CHB with HBsAg seroclearance. Primary outcome was HCC development. Factors identified from a multivariate Cox model in the training cohort, consisting of 3476 patients from two Korean hospitals, were used to construct the prediction model. External validation was performed using data from 5255 patients in Hong Kong. RESULTS: In the training cohort, HCC occurred in 102 patients during 24,019 person-years of observation (0.43%/year). Risk scores were assigned to cirrhosis (C:3), age ≥50 years (A:2), male sex (M:3) and platelet count <150,000/mm3 (P:1); all were independently associated with an increased risk of HCC in multivariate analysis The time-dependent area under receiver operating characteristic curves for 5, 10 and 15 years in the training and validation cohorts were 0.782, 0.817 and 0.825 and 0.785, 0.771 and 0.796, respectively. In the validation cohort, 85 patients developed HCC (0.24%/year). The corresponding incidence of HCC in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups were 0.07%, 0.37% and 0.90%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The CAMP-B score (cirrhosis, age ≥50 years, male sex and platelet count <150,000/mm3/L) was significantly associated with HCC development after HBsAg seroclearance. CAMP-B score can be easily implemented in real-world clinical practice and helps stratify HCC risk in patients with CHB following HBsAg seroclearance.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatitis B Surface Antigens , Hepatitis B, Chronic , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Male , Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Female , Middle Aged , Hepatitis B Surface Antigens/blood , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Adult , Aged , Liver Cirrhosis/virology , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , Platelet Count , Age Factors
15.
Aliment Pharmacol Ther ; 59(9): 1020-1032, 2024 May.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38497159

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Fontan palliation is the final stage of surgery for many children born with univentricular physiology. Almost all Fontan patients develop liver fibrosis which may eventually lead to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). These are important causes of morbidity and mortality in these patients. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the incidence of cirrhosis and HCC in Fontan patients and stratify it based on time since surgery. METHODS: A literature search of seven databases identified 1158 records. Studies reporting the number of cirrhosis and HCC cases in Fontan patients and time since Fontan surgery were included. In the cirrhosis cohort, we included only those studies where all patients underwent liver biopsy. RESULTS: A total of 23 studies were included: 12 and 13 studies in the cirrhosis and HCC cohorts, respectively, with two studies included in both cohorts. The incidence of cirrhosis was 0.97 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 0.57-1.63), with the incidence and cumulative incidence ≥20 years post Fontan surgery being 1.61 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 1.24-2.08) and 32.2% (95% CI 25.8%-39.4%), respectively. The incidence of HCC was 0.12 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 0.07-0.21), with the incidence and cumulative incidence ≥20 years post Fontan surgery being 0.20 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 0.12-0.35) and 3.9% (95% CI 2.2%-6.8%), respectively. Only about 70% of patients with HCC (20/28) had underlying cirrhosis. CONCLUSION: The incidence of cirrhosis and HCC increases over time, especially at ≥20 years post Fontan surgery. Studies are needed to further identify at-risk patients in order to streamline surveillance for these highly morbid conditions.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Fontan Procedure , Liver Neoplasms , Child , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Incidence , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Fontan Procedure/adverse effects , Liver Cirrhosis/etiology , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Risk Factors
16.
Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 18(1-3): 113-119, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38353612

BACKGROUND: We studied the temporal trends of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-related hospitalizations and potential predictors of in-hospital mortality around the COVID-19 pandemic. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using the International Classification of Diseases code, we used the National Inpatient Sample 2019-2020 and defined HCC and its underlying etiology. To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on hospitalization and in-hospital mortality, the study period was divided into the pre-COVID-19 era (2019 Q1-2020 Q1) and the COVID-19 era (2020 Q2-2020 Q4). Quarterly trends in etiology-based hospitalizations with HCC and predictors of in-hospital mortality among hospitalizations with HCC were determined. RESULTS: Hospitalization rates for HCC, as well as viral hepatitis-related HCC hospitalization rates, remained stable, while hospitalizations with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD, quarterly percentage change [QPC]: 2.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.1%-4.2%) increased steadily. Hospitalization related to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related HCC increased significantly steeper in the COVID-19 era (QPC: 6.6%; 95% CI: 4.0%-9.3%) than in the pre-COVID-19 era (QPC: 0.7%; 95% CI: 0.2%-1.3%). COVID-19 infection was independently associated with in-hospital mortality among hospitalizations with HCC (odds ratio: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.30-2.88). CONCLUSION: Hospitalization rates for viral hepatitis-related HCC remained stable, while those for HCC due to ALD and NAFLD increased during the COVID-19 pandemic.


COVID-19 , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatitis A , Liver Neoplasms , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/etiology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Liver Neoplasms/etiology , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/epidemiology , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , Hospitalization , Hepatitis A/complications
18.
Nutr Cancer ; 76(4): 335-344, 2024.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38379140

AIM: Malnutrition is prevalent in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, linked to poor outcomes, necessitating early intervention. This study aimed to investigate malnutrition in HCC patients, assess Nutrition Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002) and Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA) vs. Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria, and identify independent risk factors. METHOD: A cross-sectional retrospective study was conducted on 207 patients with HCC. Nutritional screening/assessment results and blood samples were collected within 72 h of admission. This study assessed the prevalence of malnutrition using the NRS-2002 and PG-SGA and retrospectively using the GLIM criteria. The performance of the screening tools was evaluated using kappa (K) values. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine whether laboratory parameters were associated with malnutrition as identified by the GLIM criteria. RESULTS: Of the participants, 30.4% were at risk of malnutrition according to NRS-2002. The agreement between the NRS-2002 and GLIM criteria was substantial. The GLIM criteria and PG-SGA diagnosed malnutrition in 43 and 54.6% of the participants, respectively. Age, anemia, and ascites correlated with malnutrition in regression. CONCLUSION: The GLIM criteria, along with NRS-2002 and PG-SGA, aid in diagnosing malnutrition in HCC patients. Recognizing risk factors improves accuracy, enabling timely interventions for better outcomes.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Malnutrition , Humans , Nutritional Status , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/complications , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Prevalence , Retrospective Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Leadership , Nutrition Assessment , Liver Neoplasms/complications , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Malnutrition/diagnosis , Malnutrition/epidemiology , Malnutrition/etiology , Risk Factors
19.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 2826, 2024 02 03.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38310156

The number of cancer cases diagnosed during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has decreased. This study investigated the impact of the pandemic on the clinical practice of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using a novel nationwide REgistry for Advanced Liver diseases (REAL) in Japan. We retrieved data of patients initially diagnosed with HCC between January 2018 and December 2021. We adopted tumor size as the primary outcome measure and compared it between the pre-COVID-19 (2018 and 2019) and COVID-19 eras (2020 and 2021). We analyzed 13,777 patients initially diagnosed with HCC (8074 in the pre-COVID-19 era and 5703 in the COVID-19 era). The size of the maximal intrahepatic tumor did not change between the two periods (mean [SD] = 4.3 [3.6] cm and 4.4 [3.6] cm), whereas the proportion of patients with a single tumor increased slightly from 72.0 to 74.3%. HCC was diagnosed at a similar Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage. However, the proportion of patients treated with systemic therapy has increased from 5.4 to 8.9%. The proportion of patients with a non-viral etiology significantly increased from 55.3 to 60.4%. Although the tumor size was significantly different among the etiologies, the subgroup analysis showed that the tumor size did not change after stratification by etiology. In conclusion, the characteristics of initially diagnosed HCC remained unchanged during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, regardless of differences in etiology. A robust surveillance system should be established particularly for non-B, non-C etiology to detect HCC in earlier stages.


COVID-19 , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnosis , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Pandemics , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , Registries , COVID-19 Testing
20.
Exp Clin Transplant ; 22(Suppl 1): 256-262, 2024 Jan.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38385408

OBJECTIVES: Although liver transplant is highly effective for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma, guidance on tailored posttransplant management to optimize outcomes is lacking. We examined the incidence and pretransplant radiological scans and indicators of tumor marker associated with posttransplant hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We reviewed outcomes of 34 hepatocellular carcinoma candidates aged ≥18 years who underwent living-donor liver transplant between January 2016 and January 2023. The primary outcome was biopsy-proven posttransplant hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence at any site. We used Kaplan-Meier analysis to calculate cumulative incidence and Cox regression to identify predictors of posttransplant hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence. RESULTS: Among 34 transplant candidates, median age was 44 years, 84% had hepatitis C, median laboratory Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score was 18, and median pretransplant α-fetoprotein level was 235 ng/dL. From imaging scans pretransplant, 74% of candidates met Milan criteria. Median wait time to transplant was 67 days, and 23% received pretransplant locoregional therapy. Seven (20.5%) had hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after median of 1.4 years, with cumulative incidences of 4 (11.7%) and 3 (8.8%) at 1 and 2 years posttransplant. Pretransplant number of lesions (P = .015), largest lesion diameter (P = .008), and higher amount of tumor markers (P = .002) were significant predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after adjusting for pretransplant locoregional therapy and wait time. Posttransplant hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence (P < .001) and higher amount of tumor markers (P = .029) were associated with lower posttransplant survival. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence was significantly associated with the number and size of lesions at the time of livingdonor liver transplant and amount of tumor markers. Risk stratification using a predictive model for posttransplant hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence based on pretransplant imaging and tumor markers may help guide candidate selection and tailoring of hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance strategy after living-donor liver transplant.


Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , End Stage Liver Disease , Liver Neoplasms , Liver Transplantation , Humans , Adolescent , Adult , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnostic imaging , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Incidence , Liver Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Living Donors , Severity of Illness Index , Risk Factors , Biomarkers, Tumor , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome
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